India–EU Free Trade Agreement: Employment Potential and Policy Imperatives
1. Context: India–EU FTA and Labour-Intensive Export Opportunity
The India–European Union (EU) free trade agreement (FTA) opens a significant window for India’s labour-intensive sectors, particularly textiles, apparel, footwear, leather, marine products, and plantation goods. These sectors are employment-heavy and geographically dispersed, making them central to inclusive growth and regional development.
Unlike capital-intensive manufacturing, labour-intensive industries are dominated by micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs) clustered across the country. From Tiruppur’s knitwear hubs to leather clusters in Kanpur and Agra, and from coastal seafood exporters to southern plantation economies, employment linkages are deep and widespread.
The EU represents a major export destination for India. In FY25, India’s exports to the EU stood at around 87 billion. For textiles and apparel, the EU is the second-largest market after the US, with exports valued at $7.2 billion.
At a time when higher US tariffs have affected Indian exports, the EU market offers diversification and resilience. If leveraged effectively, the FTA can translate external market access into domestic employment recovery and growth.
“Trade is a powerful engine for job creation and inclusive growth.” — World Trade Organization
Italicised reasoning: Trade agreements matter for development only when they connect market access to domestic employment structures. If labour-intensive sectors fail to benefit, export growth risks becoming narrow and uneven.
2. Tariff Liberalisation and Competitiveness Gains
Prior to the FTA, India faced relatively high tariff barriers in the EU market. These tariffs significantly eroded price competitiveness, especially in comparison with Asian competitors enjoying preferential access.
The EU imposed tariffs of up to 12% on textiles and apparel, up to 17% on leather and footwear, and as high as 26% on marine products. Under the FTA, these duties will be eliminated, narrowing a long-standing disadvantage for Indian exporters.
Given the price-sensitive nature of labour-intensive goods, tariff elimination can directly improve market access and order volumes. This is particularly relevant for MSME-dominated clusters where margins are thin and cost competitiveness determines survival.
Improved competitiveness can raise capacity utilisation across clusters, allowing export growth to translate into job creation rather than capital substitution.
Statistics:
- EU tariffs earlier ranged between 12%–26% on key labour-intensive products
- India–EU exports in FY25: $76 billion
- India–US exports in FY25: $87 billion
“Competitiveness is about productivity and access, not protection.” — Paul Krugman
Italicised reasoning: Tariff liberalisation removes structural disadvantages but does not guarantee outcomes. If competitiveness gains are not absorbed by MSMEs, employment effects will remain limited.
3. Employment Implications for Labour-Intensive Sectors
The employment potential of the India–EU FTA is particularly strong in textiles and apparel, which alone directly employ an estimated 45 million people. Improved access to the EU market can increase production runs, stabilise demand, and support job retention and creation.
Because these sectors are geographically dispersed, employment gains are likely to be regionally broad-based rather than concentrated in a few industrial corridors. This aligns trade policy with inclusive development objectives.
Higher capacity utilisation in MSME clusters can convert export orders into wages and local economic activity. Consequently, the FTA has the potential to offset employment losses arising from adverse external trade shocks.
However, employment gains are not automatic. Without complementary domestic measures, increased exports may benefit only larger firms with compliance capacity, leaving smaller units behind.
“Employment is the most inclusive form of growth.” — ILO Global Employment Trends Report
Italicised reasoning: Labour-intensive exports link global demand with domestic livelihoods. If MSMEs are excluded, trade growth may occur without meaningful employment expansion.
4. Non-Tariff Barriers as the Key Constraint
While tariff elimination is significant, non-tariff barriers (NTBs) in the EU pose a substantial challenge. These include stringent product standards, traceability requirements, sustainability norms, and compliance with environmental and labour regulations.
For MSMEs, compliance requires investment in technology, certification, and process upgrades. Many small firms lack the financial and institutional capacity to meet these requirements independently.
Without addressing NTBs, market access gains may remain notional. Export orders could be restricted to firms already compliant, limiting the diffusion of benefits across clusters.
Therefore, the real challenge lies in converting nominal access into effective access, especially for employment-oriented producers.
Challenges:
- Stringent EU standards on sustainability and traceability
- High compliance and certification costs for MSMEs
- Risk of market concentration among large exporters
“Standards can be gateways or barriers, depending on domestic preparedness.” — OECD Trade Policy Papers
Italicised reasoning: Non-tariff barriers shift the focus from price to capability. If compliance capacity is weak, tariff liberalisation alone will not deliver employment-intensive growth.
5. Domestic Reforms for Translating Access into Employment
To fully utilise the FTA, domestic reforms must complement external liberalisation. Investment in compliance infrastructure—such as testing laboratories, certification facilities, and quality-control systems—is essential.
Lowering logistics costs is equally important. Improvements in port management, faster Customs clearance, and better connectivity can enhance export reliability in a demanding market like the EU.
Skill alignment is another critical factor. Labour-intensive sectors cannot scale sustainably unless workers are trained to meet global standards in quality, safety, and environmental practices.
Without such reforms, the FTA risks benefitting a narrow set of firms rather than strengthening employment-oriented value chains.
Policy measures:
- Investment in testing and certification infrastructure
- Reduction of logistics and Customs-related delays
- Alignment of skilling programmes with export standards
“Trade policy succeeds only when domestic capability keeps pace.” — Dani Rodrik
Italicised reasoning: Domestic reforms act as the transmission mechanism between trade policy and employment. If they lag, FTAs deliver limited and uneven benefits.
Conclusion
The India–EU FTA presents a significant opportunity to revitalise India’s labour-intensive sectors and generate broad-based employment. However, tariff liberalisation alone is insufficient. Sustained gains will depend on addressing non-tariff barriers, strengthening MSME compliance capacity, reducing logistics costs, and aligning skills with global standards. If effectively implemented, the agreement can support inclusive growth, export diversification, and long-term employment resilience.
