1. Budget Philosophy: Fiscal Prudence and Quality Expenditure
The Union Budget 2026–27 is anchored in the principle of fiscal prudence, reflecting the government’s emphasis on maintaining macroeconomic stability amid uncertain global conditions. Fiscal discipline is presented not as an end in itself, but as a foundation for economic resilience.
Alongside prudence, the quality of expenditure has emerged as a central concern. The Budget prioritises capital expenditure, recognising its role in crowding in private investment, enhancing productivity, and supporting medium-term growth.
A third pillar of the Budget philosophy is targeted support for vulnerable and priority segments of society. This ensures that fiscal consolidation does not come at the cost of social protection or developmental equity.
If fiscal prudence and expenditure quality are not simultaneously pursued, public spending risks becoming inefficient, weakening both growth prospects and fiscal sustainability.
Macroeconomic stability, efficient capital spending, and social support together define sustainable public finance. Ignoring any one pillar can undermine the credibility and effectiveness of fiscal policy.
“Macroeconomic stability is a key source of strength in uncertain global conditions.” — V. Vualnam, Expenditure Secretary
2. Underutilisation of Budget Allocations and Expenditure Management
Several departments were unable to fully utilise their FY26 allocations, yet received higher allocations in FY27. This reflects an active expenditure management approach rather than mechanical budgeting.
The government undertakes a detailed review of Budget provisions in October–November each year. In some cases, such as the Jal Jeevan Mission, allocations were not fully spent due to internal reviews to reassess implementation readiness.
This approach ensures that funds flow only to activities that are actually undertaken, improving allocative efficiency. FY27 provisions have been made after understanding the specific reasons for underutilisation in FY26.
If underutilisation is ignored and allocations continue without scrutiny, it can lead to idle funds, weak outcomes, and erosion of expenditure credibility.
Expenditure reviews link budgeting with implementation capacity. Without such scrutiny, higher allocations do not necessarily translate into better outcomes.
Illustration:
- Jal Jeevan Mission allocation in FY26: ₹67,000 crore (not fully utilised)
3. Fertiliser Subsidy Rationalisation and Use of Technology
The Budget targets a reduction in fertiliser subsidy in FY27 while reaffirming the government’s commitment to ensure adequate fertiliser availability for farmers. The emphasis is on efficiency rather than withdrawal of support.
The Agri Stack initiative is expected to play a key role by leveraging digital information systems. Better targeting can help farmers access the precise quantity of fertiliser required, reducing crowding at outlets and minimising waste.
There is also openness to reforming the subsidy delivery mechanism, including the possibility of directly subsidising fertiliser consumers instead of producers, though no final decision has been taken.
If fertiliser subsidies are not rationalised, fiscal pressures will persist and distortions in fertiliser use may continue, affecting both productivity and environmental outcomes.
Technology-enabled targeting offers a pathway to balance fiscal prudence with farmer welfare. Ignoring this opportunity risks perpetuating inefficiency in agricultural support.
“By using the power of information technology, farmers will be able to choose and use exactly the quantity of fertiliser they need.” — V. Vualnam
4. Finance Commission Recommendations and Fiscal Federalism
The Sixteenth Finance Commission’s recommendation to discontinue post-devolution revenue deficit grants has implications for fiscally weaker states. The Centre’s position is that, after tax devolution, states are expected to mobilise their own revenues.
The government believes that with improved devolution arrangements and state-level efforts, managing revenue balances should be feasible. This reflects a shift towards greater fiscal responsibility at the sub-national level.
On fiscal deficit norms, the Commission recommended limits of 3% of GSDP for states and 3.5% of GDP for the Centre by 2030–31. While the Centre has accepted the former, it is examining the latter in the context of debt management.
If rigid deficit targets constrain the Centre’s ability to respond to national requirements, macroeconomic management could be weakened during periods of stress.
Fiscal federalism requires balancing discipline with flexibility. Overly rigid norms may limit effective macroeconomic response, while laxity can undermine sustainability.
Key norms:
- States’ fiscal deficit limit: 3% of GSDP
- Recommended Centre limit: 3.5% of GDP by 2030–31
5. Scheme Rationalisation and Evaluation Process
Expectations that several schemes would be discontinued at the end of the Fifteenth Finance Commission period have not yet materialised. The government attributes this to ongoing evaluations by individual ministries.
Based on evaluation outcomes, schemes may be merged, restructured, or closed. New schemes are expected to be robustly designed, with clear objectives and implementation frameworks.
Decisions are expected to be finalised by February–April, after which continuing schemes will undergo appraisal by the Expenditure Finance Committee (EFC).
If schemes are continued without rigorous evaluation, expenditure fragmentation and overlap may persist, reducing policy effectiveness.
Systematic evaluation ensures that public spending remains outcome-oriented. Ignoring this step risks perpetuating ineffective or redundant schemes.
6. Special Assistance to States for Capital Investment (SASCI)
Allocations for Special Assistance to States for Capital Investment (SASCI) loans have increased sharply in FY27, despite about ₹43,000 crore remaining unspent in FY26. The increase reflects confidence in the scheme’s design rather than utilisation issues.
SASCI provides flexibility to states while ensuring that spending aligns with desirable fiscal parameters. A key feature is its reform-linked component, which conditions disbursement on the adoption of specified reforms.
States are given time until November–December to report reforms undertaken. Disbursements occur after verification, explaining the apparent lag in utilisation.
Reform-linked capital assistance balances autonomy with accountability. Ignoring design features may lead to misinterpretation of utilisation data.
Key figure:
- Unspent SASCI allocation in FY26: ₹43,000 crore
Conclusion
The FY27 Budget reflects an evolution towards disciplined, outcome-oriented public finance. By emphasising fiscal prudence, quality expenditure, technological reform, and calibrated federal flexibility, the government aims to strengthen macroeconomic stability while supporting growth and welfare. Sustained success will depend on effective implementation, credible evaluations, and adaptive fiscal frameworks aligned with India’s development priorities.
