1. India’s Climate Commitments and the Centrality of Steel
India’s renewed pledge at COP30 to submit a more ambitious NDC places the country at a strategic inflection point. This commitment requires credible, economy-wide decarbonisation pathways. Steel becomes the most consequential sector because it is both energy-intensive and foundational to infrastructure growth.
India’s steel demand will rise substantially as the economy expands. Production is expected to increase from the current ~125 million tonnes/yr to over 400 million tonnes by 2050. This scale of growth makes the sector a key determinant of India’s cumulative emissions trajectory. Currently, steel contributes ~12% of national emissions, largely due to the dominance of coal-based blast furnaces.
The policy challenge is a dual one: sustaining development while aligning with long-term climate targets. Investments made today will define lock-ins for decades. Failure to shift from high-carbon assets risks embedding obsolete technology, reducing export competitiveness and weakening India’s climate leadership.
The governance logic is clear: without early transition, the steel sector will accumulate high-carbon assets, raising future retrofit costs and jeopardising India’s NDC credibility.
2. Global Trends and Competitiveness Pressures
Major economies are rapidly transforming their steel sectors. China is increasing scrap-based secondary steel production and investing in green hydrogen, signalling a decisive pivot away from coal. The EU has institutionalised its transition through the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which penalises carbon-intensive imports.
These shifts indicate a global market preference for low-carbon steel. Exporters unable to demonstrate clean production face border taxes, loss of premium markets and reputational disadvantages. Early movers in green steel enjoy competitive gains through technology leadership, investment flows and market access.
Indian steel producers have begun pilot efforts: Tata Steel’s hydrogen injection trials, JSW and JSPL’s hydrogen integration explorations, and SAIL’s furnace modernisation. However, pilots now need rapid scaling into demonstration and commercial plants.
Ignoring these global signals will erode India’s industrial competitiveness and expose exporters to punitive carbon pricing regimes.
3. Need for Transitioning Away from High-Carbon Technologies
India’s steel expansion cannot rely on traditional blast-furnace–basic oxygen furnace (BF-BOF) routes. Continued investment in coal-based plants would lock the country into decades of high emissions and stranded assets. Near-zero technologies—direct reduced iron (DRI) using natural gas or green hydrogen, electric arc furnaces (EAF), and enhanced scrap utilisation—must become the foundation for new capacity.
Small and medium enterprises, which dominate India’s steel ecosystem, must adopt best available technologies in energy efficiency, raw material quality and process optimisation. Their transition is essential for an equitable and sector-wide shift.
If capacity addition continues through coal-based routes, India risks technological obsolescence, higher long-term mitigation costs and diminished global credibility in climate negotiations.
4. Policy Landscape and Gaps
India has initiated several key frameworks. The Greening Steel Roadmap (2023) provides a stepwise decarbonisation pathway. The Green Steel Taxonomy (2024) positions India as the first country to standardise green steel definitions. The National Green Hydrogen Mission and renewable energy expansions strengthen supply-side readiness. Additionally, 253 steel units are subject to emission-intensity targets under the Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS).
However, crucial market-shaping incentives are still missing. Clear policy signals that shift investments away from BF-BOF routes have not fully materialised. As a result, India risks continuing to add carbon-intensive, capital-heavy technologies that may soon be globally uncompetitive.
Without strong policy signals, private players cannot plan long-term capital investments, slowing down technology adoption and undermining sectoral transformation.
5. Barriers to Green Steel: Key Challenges
Supply and cost constraints:
- High cost and limited supply of green hydrogen
- Insufficient renewable energy dedicated to industry
- Irregular and informal scrap market limiting EAF expansion
Infrastructure and resource bottlenecks:
- Absence of reliable, affordable natural gas as transitional fuel
- Lack of carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) networks
- No shared industrial hubs for hydrogen, green power or CO₂ evacuation
Financial and capacity challenges:
- Low-maturity, high-cost debt for green steel
- High capital intensity (30–50% higher) for low-carbon technologies
- Need for workforce upskilling and technology support
These constraints make the transition complex, but they are solvable through coordinated policy, investment mobilisation and institutional reform.
6. Policy Measures Required for Accelerated Transition
Clear targets and pricing:
- Stringent short-, medium- and long-term emission standards
- Early rollout of a carbon pricing regime
- Lessons from Europe: near-zero steel becomes viable at $90–100/tonne CO₂
Market creation:
- Public procurement policy for green steel
- Certification and labelling mechanisms
- Scaling adoption of the Green Steel Taxonomy
Infrastructure and fuel access:
- Prioritised natural gas access for steel
- Industrial hubs for green hydrogen, renewable energy and CO₂ transport
- Shared infrastructure to reduce individual firm costs
Financial and institutional support:
- Fiscal incentives for green steel investments
- De-risking mechanisms for long-maturity industrial loans
- Special support for MSMEs in the steel value chain
Without these measures, private sector initiatives will remain fragmented, and transition costs will remain prohibitively high for most producers.
7. Strategic Importance of Green Steel for India
Green steel is now a strategic imperative aligned with India’s climate ambitions, export competitiveness and industrial modernisation. India has already demonstrated global leadership in renewable energy expansion and climate diplomacy. Steel is the next frontier where India can influence global industrial norms and secure its long-term economic resilience.
"We do not inherit the earth from our ancestors; we borrow it from our children." — Native American Proverb
(Aids recall in Essay/GS3 on sustainability)
A coordinated approach—combining decisive corporate investments with an enabling policy ecosystem—will position India as a global leader in low-carbon industrialisation.
If this opportunity is missed, India risks technological lock-in, loss of global competitiveness and reduced credibility in climate negotiations.
Conclusion
India’s steel sector stands at a pivotal crossroads. Decarbonisation is no longer optional but central to climate commitments, industrial competitiveness and sustainable growth. By fostering a coherent policy environment, enabling technology adoption and supporting industry-wide transition, India can define global standards for green industrialisation and secure long-term economic and environmental resilience.
