1. Context: AI Transformation and the Question of Social Justice
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is rapidly reshaping economies, labour markets, and governance systems. The central policy question is not whether AI will alter jobs, but whether this transformation will promote social justice, decent work, and shared prosperity.
India hosting the AI Impact Summit in New Delhi — coinciding with the World Day of Social Justice (February 20) — symbolises the intersection between technological ambition and social responsibility. As the first such summit in the Global South, it signals India’s intent to shape AI governance from a development-oriented perspective.
AI’s scale and reach in India make it a significant test case. The country has the world’s largest share of monthly active users of the ChatGPT mobile application and one of the largest user bases for advanced AI platforms.
Technological change is inevitable; its social outcomes are not. Without deliberate governance, AI-driven growth could widen inequalities instead of fostering inclusive development.
“Technological change is not an exogenous force; it is shaped by human decisions.” — Joseph E. Stiglitz
2. Scale of Labour Market Transformation in India
AI is projected to generate substantial employment effects in India over the coming years. By 2030, AI could create over 3 million new technology jobs while reshaping more than 10 million existing jobs.
This indicates that transformation, rather than wholesale job destruction, will characterise AI’s impact. Roles may evolve through task augmentation, automation of routine components, and demand for new skill sets.
India’s labour-intensive economy and large informal sector mean that managing this transition is crucial for social stability and economic inclusion.
Key Projections:
- 3+ million new AI-related technology jobs by 2030
- 10+ million existing jobs likely to be reshaped
If workforce adaptation lags behind technological diffusion, structural unemployment and skill mismatches may intensify, undermining demographic dividend gains.
3. Polarised Global Discourse and Governance Imperative
Global debates on AI are increasingly polarised. One strand emphasises productivity gains and innovation; another warns of job losses, inequality, and regulatory gaps.
However, both narratives overlook that outcomes depend on institutional design, regulatory choices, and social dialogue. Technology alone does not determine distributional consequences.
Governance frameworks — inclusive institutions, democratic participation, and worker engagement — are therefore central to shaping AI’s trajectory.
AI governance is fundamentally a question of institutional capacity. Without participatory frameworks, technological gains may concentrate benefits while social costs remain diffused.
“The future depends on what you do today.” — Mahatma Gandhi
4. ILO Evidence: Transformation over Replacement
Evidence from the International Labour Organization (ILO) indicates that AI will primarily transform jobs rather than eliminate them entirely.
Globally, around one in four workers is employed in occupations with some level of exposure to generative AI. However, exposure does not equate to replacement; many roles are likely to be augmented.
To maximise benefits, effective policy frameworks, worker participation, and strong social dialogue are essential. Innovation must be aligned with equitable and inclusive labour outcomes.
Global Exposure Patterns:
- 25% (approx.) of global workers exposed to generative AI
- Greater transformation than displacement expected
Ignoring worker participation in AI integration risks weakening labour standards and eroding trust in technological progress.
5. Digital Platforms and Social Protection: The e-Shram Example
India’s e-Shram platform demonstrates how technology can advance social justice. The platform has enabled registration of over 315 million informal workers for social protection schemes.
With ILO technical collaboration, India’s social protection coverage increased from 19% in 2015 to 64.3% in 2025. This expansion reflects how digital systems can improve welfare targeting and inclusion.
Investments such as Microsoft’s $17.5 billion commitment to AI diffusion aim to integrate AI into e-Shram and the National Career Service portal, enhancing job matching, skill development, and scheme access.
*Outcomes:
- 315 million+ informal workers registered
- Social protection coverage: 19% (2015) → 64.3% (2025)
- $17.5 billion private investment supporting AI integration
When AI strengthens public service delivery, it expands inclusion. Without integration into welfare systems, technological progress may bypass vulnerable workers.
6. Institutional Preparedness: National Missions and Budget Measures
India has initiated multiple missions to prepare for the future of work, including:
- AI Mission
- National Quantum Mission
- Anusandhan National Research Fund
- Research, Development and Innovation Fund
The Union Budget 2026–27 announced a High-Powered ‘Education to Employment and Enterprise’ Standing Committee to assess AI’s impact on jobs and skills. It will recommend embedding AI education from the school level and promote AI-driven job matching.
These measures reflect an attempt to align education, skilling, and employment systems with emerging technological realities.
Policy Measures:
- Institutional assessment of AI’s employment impact
- Integration of AI education from school level
- AI-based worker-job matching mechanisms
Forward-looking institutional design ensures that AI complements human capital development. Without education reform, skill gaps could widen inequality.
7. Unequal Global Exposure and the Need for Tailored Policies
AI exposure varies significantly across income levels. In low-income countries, only about 11.5% of employment is exposed to generative AI, compared to roughly one-third in high-income economies.
These differences reflect economic structure variations and underscore the need for differentiated policy approaches. One-size-fits-all global governance models may not address diverse labour market realities.
Targeted public investment in digital infrastructure, skills development, and social protection — along with international collaboration — is essential to ensure equitable AI diffusion.
Comparative Exposure:
- Low-income countries: 11.5% employment exposure
- High-income countries: ~33% employment exposure
Unequal AI exposure can translate into unequal economic gains. Without tailored policies, technological divides may reinforce global inequality.
8. Human-Centred AI and the Value of Work
The convergence of the AI Impact Summit and the World Day of Social Justice underscores that AI must serve workers and societies. Innovation should reinforce dignity, trust, and social cohesion.
Work remains central not only to income but also to identity and social stability. Aligning technological ambition with social purpose is therefore critical.
Human-centred AI governance integrates productivity with protection, innovation with inclusion, and growth with fairness.
If AI development outpaces institutional adaptation, trust deficits may emerge, weakening both economic performance and democratic legitimacy.
“The end of labour is not leisure; it is the chance to engage in more meaningful work.” — John Maynard Keynes
Conclusion
India’s AI trajectory presents both opportunity and responsibility. With large-scale user adoption, significant employment projections, and expanding digital welfare systems, the country stands at a pivotal moment in shaping inclusive AI governance.
Sustained investment in skills, social dialogue, institutional reform, and digital public infrastructure can ensure that AI strengthens productivity while safeguarding dignity and social justice. A human-centred approach will determine whether AI becomes a driver of inclusive development or a source of new inequalities in the world of work.
